Are nuclear weapons ineffective in deterring non-nuclear weapon states? The paradox of Russia’s war on Ukraine

By Polina Sinovets and Aderito Vicente

Since February 24, Russia’s war on Ukraine has become a laboratory of major theories and regimes. Most of them were inherited from the Cold War period. At the forefront of this day-to-day testing lab, nuclear deterrence is being assessed for its capabilities and limits. This critical juncture is already paving a new role in today’s international security architecture.

This paper will focus on the limitations of nuclear deterrence and the ineffectiveness of nuclear weapons’ in deterring non-nuclear weapon states brightly demonstrated during this war.

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