The growing role of the nuclear factor in interstate politics: The case of Russia’s war against Ukraine

By Polina Sinovets

The paper analyses the nuclear threats made by Russia in the course of its war against Ukraine as part of a complex analysis of Russia’s internal doctrines and international reaction that seeks to shed light on the Kremlin’s reasons for nuclear coercion. The implications of such nuclear threats and possible scenarios for nuclear weapon use by Russia are discussed. The conclusions provide an overview of the possible outcomes of Russia’s nuclear coercion for the future role of nuclear weapons, the Non-Proliferation Treaty regime and the international world order.

To read full EUNPDC Policy Paper.